Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

31.5%

24h Change

-18.0 pp

Signal Score

53/100

Data Confidence

High (77)

24h probability fell 18.0pp

Market data

Updated 9 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-12 19:06 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $264,034
High data confidence (77)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

31.5%

24h Change

-18.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

6d of stored history

150 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 12, 07:00 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM	31.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM	42.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM	49.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM	49.5%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM	49.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM	49.5%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM	49.5%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM	49.5%
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM	49.5%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 AM	49.5%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 AM	49.5%
8/11/2026, 11:00:00 PM	49.5%
8/11/2026, 10:00:00 PM	49.5%
8/11/2026, 9:00:00 PM	49.5%
8/11/2026, 8:00:00 PM	49.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-11.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$403.5K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$264.0K

Market Significance

High (77)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 19, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 53/100.

Probability Momentum 60

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 96

Persistence 77

Data Confidence High (77)

Next Steps

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