Tampa Bay Rays vs. Athletics

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

96.6%

24h Change

+33.1 pp

Signal Score

73/100

Data Confidence

High (79)

24h probability rose 33.1pp

Market data

Updated 7 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-12 20:51 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $194,484
  • High data confidence (79)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 96.6% · Aug 12, 08:45 PM

60% 80% 100% Aug 11 Aug 12 Aug 12 Aug 12 Current 96.6% · 6d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

96.6%

24h Change

+33.1 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

6d of stored history

152 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 12, 08:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/12/2026, 8:45:00 PM 96.6%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM 87.5%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM 67.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM 67.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM 67.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM 66.5%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM 66.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM 66.5%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM 66.5%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM 65.5%
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM 65.5%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM 65.5%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 AM 65.5%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 AM 66.5%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 AM 66.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 AM 67.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 AM 68.0%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 AM 66.0%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 AM 65.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 AM 65.5%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 AM 65.5%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 AM 65.0%
8/11/2026, 11:00:00 PM 64.5%
8/11/2026, 10:00:00 PM 64.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+29.1 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$485.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$194.5K

Market Significance

High (77)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 19, 2026

Attention Score

49

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 73/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 97
Persistence 93
Data Confidence High (79)

Next Steps

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