Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

73.5%

24h Change

+19.0 pp

Signal Score

53/100

Data Confidence

High (76)

24h probability rose 19.0pp

Market data

Updated 5 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-12 22:45 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $204,797
  • High data confidence (76)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 73.5% · Aug 12, 10:45 PM

49% 63% 76% Aug 11 Aug 12 Aug 12 Aug 12 Current 73.5% · 6d of stored history · 26 pts

Current

73.5%

24h Change

+19.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

6d of stored history

155 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 12, 10:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/12/2026, 10:45:00 PM 73.5%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 PM 69.5%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 PM 65.5%
8/12/2026, 8:45:00 PM 63.5%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM 51.5%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM 51.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM 51.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM 51.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM 51.5%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM 51.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM 51.5%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM 51.5%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM 52.5%
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM 52.5%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 AM 53.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+8.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$643.7K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$204.8K

Market Significance

High (78)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 19, 2026

Attention Score

39

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 53/100.

Probability Momentum 63
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 98
Persistence 65
Data Confidence High (76)

Next Steps

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