Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-46.9 pp

Signal Score

74/100

Data Confidence

High (79)

24h probability fell 46.9pp

Market data

Updated 3 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-13 02:21 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $406,513
  • High data confidence (79)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.1% · Aug 13, 02:15 AM

0% 38% 77% Aug 12 Aug 12 Aug 12 Aug 13 Current 0.1% · 7d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-46.9 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

7d of stored history

158 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 13, 02:15 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/13/2026, 2:15:00 AM 0.1%
8/13/2026, 2:00:00 AM 0.6%
8/13/2026, 1:00:00 AM 44.5%
8/13/2026, 12:00:00 AM 70.0%
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 PM 44.5%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 PM 44.5%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 PM 45.5%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM 45.5%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM 45.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM 45.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM 45.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM 45.5%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM 45.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM 45.5%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM 45.5%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM 45.5%
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM 45.5%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM 45.5%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 AM 45.5%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 AM 45.5%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 AM 45.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 AM 46.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 AM 46.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 AM 46.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-44.5 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$438.6K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$406.5K

Market Significance

High (77)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 19, 2026

Attention Score

49

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 74/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 96
Persistence 97
Data Confidence High (79)

Next Steps

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