Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White Sox

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-42.4 pp

Signal Score

71/100

Data Confidence

High (77)

24h probability fell 42.4pp

Market data

Updated 3 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-13 02:21 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $311,765
  • High data confidence (77)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.1% · Aug 13, 02:15 AM

0% 24% 48% Aug 12 Aug 12 Aug 12 Aug 13 Current 0.1% · 7d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-42.4 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

7d of stored history

158 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 13, 02:15 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/13/2026, 2:15:00 AM 0.1%
8/13/2026, 2:00:00 AM 0.1%
8/13/2026, 1:00:00 AM 29.5%
8/13/2026, 12:00:00 AM 37.5%
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 PM 41.5%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 PM 41.5%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 PM 41.5%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM 41.5%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM 41.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM 41.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM 41.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM 41.5%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM 41.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM 42.5%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM 42.5%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM 43.5%
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM 43.5%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM 43.5%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 AM 43.5%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 AM 43.5%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 AM 42.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 AM 42.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 AM 42.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 AM 42.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-29.4 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$246.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$311.8K

Market Significance

High (76)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 19, 2026

Attention Score

49

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 71/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 94
Persistence 82
Data Confidence High (77)

Next Steps

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