Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

30.5%

24h Change

-3.0 pp

Signal Score

34/100

Data Confidence

High (79)

24h probability fell 3.0pp

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-13 02:21 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $214,870
  • High data confidence (79)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 30.5% · Aug 13, 02:15 AM

30% 33% 35% Aug 12 Aug 12 Aug 12 Aug 13 Current 30.5% · 7d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

30.5%

24h Change

-3.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

7d of stored history

158 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 13, 02:15 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/13/2026, 2:15:00 AM 30.5%
8/13/2026, 2:00:00 AM 32.5%
8/13/2026, 1:00:00 AM 33.5%
8/13/2026, 12:00:00 AM 33.5%
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 PM 33.5%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 PM 33.5%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 PM 33.5%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM 33.5%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM 33.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM 33.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM 34.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM 34.5%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM 34.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM 33.5%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM 33.5%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM 33.5%
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM 33.5%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM 33.5%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 AM 33.5%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 AM 33.5%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 AM 33.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 AM 33.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 AM 33.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 AM 33.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-3.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$215.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$214.9K

Market Significance

High (75)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 20, 2026

Attention Score

22

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 34/100.

Probability Momentum 10
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 93
Persistence 100
Data Confidence High (79)

Next Steps

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