Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 13?

Open · Resolves in 1 day View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

99.9%

24h Change

+0.4 pp

Signal Score

20/100

Data Confidence

High (72)

24h probability rose 0.4pp

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-13 02:21 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $19,144
  • High data confidence (72)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 99.9% · Aug 13, 02:15 AM

99% 101% 100% Aug 12 Aug 12 Aug 12 Aug 13 Current 99.9% · 6d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

99.9%

24h Change

+0.4 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

6d of stored history

155 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 13, 02:15 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/13/2026, 2:15:00 AM 99.9%
8/13/2026, 2:00:00 AM 99.8%
8/13/2026, 1:00:00 AM 99.8%
8/13/2026, 12:00:00 AM 99.8%
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 PM 99.8%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 PM 99.8%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 PM 99.9%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM 99.9%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM 99.9%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM 99.8%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM 99.8%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM 99.6%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM 99.6%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM 99.6%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM 99.7%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM 99.6%
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM 99.8%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM 99.7%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 AM 99.7%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 AM 99.9%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 AM 99.2%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 AM 99.4%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 AM 99.4%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 AM 99.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+0.1 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$78.2K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$19.1K

Market Significance

Moderate (68)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 1 day

End Date

Aug 13, 2026

Attention Score

17

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 20/100.

Probability Momentum 1
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 83
Persistence 49
Data Confidence High (72)

Next Steps

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