Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 13?

Open · Resolves in 1 day View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

0.7%

24h Change

-3.0 pp

Signal Score

18/100

Data Confidence

Medium (68)

24h probability fell 3.0pp

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-13 02:21 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $11,302
Medium data confidence (68)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.7%

24h Change

-3.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

6d of stored history

155 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 13, 02:15 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/13/2026, 2:15:00 AM	0.7%
8/13/2026, 2:00:00 AM	0.3%
8/13/2026, 1:00:00 AM	0.4%
8/13/2026, 12:00:00 AM	0.3%
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 PM	0.3%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 PM	0.3%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 PM	0.9%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM	0.9%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM	1.3%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM	1.1%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM	0.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM	0.5%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM	0.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM	4.3%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM	5.9%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM	6.3%
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM	5.1%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM	4.8%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 AM	2.4%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 AM	2.8%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 AM	3.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 AM	3.6%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 AM	3.6%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 AM	3.7%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+0.3 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$58.7K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$11.3K

Market Significance

Moderate (66)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 1 day

End Date

Aug 13, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 18/100.

Probability Momentum 10

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 80

Persistence 10

Data Confidence Medium (68)

Next Steps

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