Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 13?

Open · Resolves in 1 day View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-0.5 pp

Signal Score

17/100

Data Confidence

High (70)

24h probability fell 0.5pp

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-13 02:21 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $79,960
High data confidence (70)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-0.5 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

6d of stored history

157 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 13, 02:15 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/13/2026, 2:15:00 AM	0.1%
8/13/2026, 2:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/13/2026, 1:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/13/2026, 12:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 10:45:00 PM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 8:45:00 PM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM	0.4%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM	0.6%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM	0.5%
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM	0.4%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM	0.4%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 AM	0.3%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 AM	0.3%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 AM	0.4%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$61.6K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$80.0K

Market Significance

High (71)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 1 day

End Date

Aug 13, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 17/100.

Probability Momentum 2

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 87

Persistence 20

Data Confidence High (70)

Next Steps

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