Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-7.4 pp

Signal Score

31/100

Data Confidence

High (73)

24h probability fell 7.4pp

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-10 16:57 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $99,692
High data confidence (73)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-7.4 pp

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

Coverage

4d of stored history

99 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 10, 04:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/10/2026, 4:45:00 PM	0.1%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM	0.3%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM	0.3%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM	0.5%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM	0.6%
8/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM	0.4%
8/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM	0.5%
8/10/2026, 9:15:00 AM	0.5%
8/10/2026, 9:00:00 AM	0.5%
8/10/2026, 8:00:00 AM	0.5%
8/10/2026, 7:45:00 AM	0.5%
8/10/2026, 7:00:00 AM	0.8%
8/10/2026, 6:00:00 AM	1.1%
8/10/2026, 5:00:00 AM	1.5%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 AM	2.4%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 AM	2.3%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 AM	3.5%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 AM	5.5%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 AM	5.5%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 PM	6.0%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 PM	6.5%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM	10.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM	5.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-0.2 pp

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

24h Volume

$133.2K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$99.7K

Market Significance

High (81)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 10, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 31/100.

Probability Momentum 25

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 91

Persistence 42

Data Confidence High (73)

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