Ethereum Up or Down on August 8?

Open · Resolves in 1 day View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

33.5%

24h Change

-16.5 pp

Signal Score

47/100

Data Confidence

Medium (64)

24h probability fell 16.5pp

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-08 08:07 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $23,357
Medium data confidence (64)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

33.5%

24h Change

-16.5 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

40 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 8, 08:00 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 AM	33.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 AM	40.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 AM	44.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 AM	45.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM	34.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM	39.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM	37.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM	39.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM	40.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 PM	45.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 PM	41.0%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 PM	49.5%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 PM	35.0%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 PM	39.5%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 PM	36.5%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM	50.5%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 PM	50.0%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 PM	50.0%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 PM	50.0%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 PM	50.0%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 AM	50.0%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 AM	50.0%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 AM	50.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-7.0 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

24h Volume

$41.7K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$23.4K

Market Significance

Moderate (67)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 1 day

End Date

Aug 8, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 47/100.

Probability Momentum 55

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 81

Persistence 65

Data Confidence Medium (64)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.

Back to radar Browse all markets View on Polymarket ↗