Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)

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Current Probability

27.0%

24h Change

-14.5 pp

Signal Score

50/100

Data Confidence

Medium (68)

24h probability fell 14.5pp

Market data

Updated 10 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-07 23:50 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $86,304
  • Medium data confidence (68)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 27.0% · Aug 7, 11:45 PM

25% 35% 45% Aug 7 Aug 7 Aug 7 Aug 7 Current 27.0% · 1d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

27.0%

24h Change

-14.5 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

Coverage

1d of stored history

28 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 7, 11:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/7/2026, 11:45:00 PM 27.0%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM 41.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 PM 42.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 PM 42.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 PM 41.5%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 PM 40.5%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 PM 40.5%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 PM 40.5%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM 41.5%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 PM 40.5%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 PM 43.0%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 PM 43.0%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 PM 43.0%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 AM 43.0%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 AM 43.0%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 AM 43.0%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 AM 43.0%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 AM 43.0%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 AM 43.5%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 AM 43.0%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 AM 43.0%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 AM 43.0%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 AM 43.0%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 AM 43.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-15.5 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

24h Volume

$186.5K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$86.3K

Market Significance

High (82)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 7, 2026

Attention Score

33

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 50/100.

Probability Momentum 48
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 92
Persistence 96
Data Confidence Medium (68)

Next Steps

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