New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5

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Current Probability

38.5%

24h Change

-9.5 pp

Signal Score

41/100

Data Confidence

Medium (67)

24h probability fell 9.5pp

Market data

Updated 10 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-07 23:50 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $37,748
  • Medium data confidence (67)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 38.5% · Aug 7, 11:45 PM

37% 44% 51% Aug 7 Aug 7 Aug 7 Aug 7 Current 38.5% · 1d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

38.5%

24h Change

-9.5 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

Coverage

1d of stored history

27 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 7, 11:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/7/2026, 11:45:00 PM 38.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM 48.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 PM 49.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 PM 48.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 PM 48.5%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 PM 48.5%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 PM 48.5%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 PM 48.5%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM 48.5%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 PM 48.5%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 PM 48.5%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 PM 48.5%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 PM 48.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 AM 48.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 AM 48.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 AM 48.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 AM 48.5%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 AM 48.5%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 AM 48.5%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 AM 49.0%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 AM 49.0%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 AM 48.5%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 AM 48.0%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 AM 48.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-11.0 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

24h Volume

$98.6K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$37.7K

Market Significance

High (78)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 7, 2026

Attention Score

27

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 41/100.

Probability Momentum 32
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 87
Persistence 92
Data Confidence Medium (67)

Next Steps

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