Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-47.9 pp

Signal Score

66/100

Data Confidence

Medium (64)

24h probability fell 47.9pp

Market data

Updated 5 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-08 04:18 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $112,761
  • Medium data confidence (64)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.1% · Aug 8, 04:15 AM

0% 27% 54% Aug 7 Aug 7 Aug 7 Aug 8 Current 0.1% · 1d of stored history · 26 pts

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-47.9 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

Coverage

1d of stored history

32 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 8, 04:15 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/8/2026, 4:15:00 AM 0.1%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM 3.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM 8.0%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM 19.0%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM 34.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM 46.5%
8/7/2026, 11:45:00 PM 47.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM 47.0%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 PM 46.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 PM 47.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 PM 48.5%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 PM 48.5%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 PM 48.5%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 PM 48.5%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM 48.5%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 PM 48.5%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 PM 48.5%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 PM 49.5%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 PM 49.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 AM 49.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 AM 49.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 AM 49.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 AM 48.5%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 AM 49.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-8.0 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

24h Volume

$103.6K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$112.8K

Market Significance

High (81)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 7, 2026

Attention Score

48

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 66/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 90
Persistence 50
Data Confidence Medium (64)

Next Steps

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