Counter-Strike: ALKA vs paiN Academy - Map 1 Winner

Open · Resolves in 1 day View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+39.5 pp

Signal Score

72/100

Data Confidence

Medium (67)

24h probability rose 39.5pp

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-08 22:33 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $51,919
  • Medium data confidence (67)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 100.0% · Aug 8, 10:30 PM

52% 76% 100% Aug 7 Aug 8 Aug 8 Aug 8 Current 100.0% · 2d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+39.5 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

45 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 8, 10:30 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/8/2026, 10:30:00 PM 100.0%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 PM 100.0%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 PM 56.1%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 PM 62.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 PM 61.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM 61.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM 61.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM 61.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM 61.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM 59.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 PM 59.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 PM 59.5%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 AM 59.5%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 AM 59.5%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 AM 59.5%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 AM 59.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 AM 59.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 AM 59.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 AM 58.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM 58.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM 58.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM 58.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM 58.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM 58.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+43.9 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

24h Volume

$47.9K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$51.9K

Market Significance

Moderate (70)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 1 day

End Date

Aug 9, 2026

Attention Score

47

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 72/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 85
Persistence 94
Data Confidence Medium (67)

Next Steps

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