National Bank Open: Jessica Pegula vs Diana Shnaider

Open · Resolves in 8 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

71.5%

24h Change

+2.0 pp

Signal Score

27/100

Data Confidence

Medium (65)

24h probability rose 2.0pp

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-08 18:43 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $239,215
Medium data confidence (65)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

71.5%

24h Change

+2.0 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

39 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 8, 06:30 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/8/2026, 6:30:00 PM	71.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM	71.0%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM	70.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM	71.0%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM	70.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM	70.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 PM	70.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 PM	70.5%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 AM	69.5%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 AM	69.5%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 AM	69.5%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 AM	69.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 AM	69.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 AM	69.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 AM	69.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM	69.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM	69.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM	69.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM	69.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM	69.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM	69.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 PM	69.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 PM	69.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 PM	69.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+1.0 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

24h Volume

$61.6K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$239.2K

Market Significance

High (72)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 8 days

End Date

Aug 16, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 27/100.

Probability Momentum 7

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 88

Persistence 70

Data Confidence Medium (65)

Next Steps

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