National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-84.5 pp

Signal Score

74/100

Data Confidence

Medium (69)

24h probability fell 84.5pp

Market data

Updated 12 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-09 02:02 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $823,752
Medium data confidence (69)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-84.5 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

46 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 9, 02:00 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 AM	77.5%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 AM	76.5%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 PM	83.5%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 PM	83.5%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 PM	83.5%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 PM	83.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 PM	83.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM	83.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM	83.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM	83.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM	84.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM	84.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 PM	84.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 PM	84.5%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 AM	83.5%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 AM	83.5%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 AM	83.5%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 AM	83.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 AM	83.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 AM	84.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 AM	84.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM	84.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM	84.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-77.5 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$859.4K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$823.8K

Market Significance

High (79)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 16, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 74/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 99

Persistence 95

Data Confidence Medium (69)

Next Steps

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