Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 9?

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-6.3 pp

Signal Score

28/100

Data Confidence

Medium (62)

24h probability fell 6.3pp

Market data

Updated 3 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-09 10:39 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $27,003
Medium data confidence (62)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-6.3 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

56 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 9, 10:30 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/9/2026, 10:30:00 AM	0.1%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 AM	0.4%
8/9/2026, 8:45:00 AM	0.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 AM	1.5%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 AM	13.5%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 AM	47.0%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 AM	24.5%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 AM	33.0%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 AM	10.5%
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 AM	5.0%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 AM	4.5%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 AM	4.0%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 PM	5.5%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 PM	8.5%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 PM	8.5%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 PM	6.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 PM	6.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM	6.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM	5.0%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM	6.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM	4.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM	5.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 PM	8.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-0.3 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$57.2K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$27.0K

Market Significance

Moderate (68)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 9, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 28/100.

Probability Momentum 21

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 83

Persistence 42

Data Confidence Medium (62)

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