Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 9?

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-1.4 pp

Signal Score

17/100

Data Confidence

Medium (59)

24h probability fell 1.4pp

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-09 12:59 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $9,661
Medium data confidence (59)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-1.4 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

59 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 9, 12:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/9/2026, 12:45:00 PM	0.1%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/9/2026, 10:30:00 AM	0.1%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/9/2026, 8:45:00 AM	0.1%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM	4.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$44.0K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$9.7K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 9, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 17/100.

Probability Momentum 5

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 78

Persistence 20

Data Confidence Medium (59)

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