Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 9?

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Current Probability

97.2%

24h Change

+78.6 pp

Signal Score

62/100

Data Confidence

Medium (60)

24h probability rose 78.6pp

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-09 12:59 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Low liquidity ($716)
Medium data confidence (60)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

97.2%

24h Change

+78.6 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

59 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 9, 12:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/9/2026, 12:45:00 PM	97.2%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM	95.5%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 AM	92.5%
8/9/2026, 10:30:00 AM	74.9%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 AM	99.1%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 AM	97.0%
8/9/2026, 8:45:00 AM	96.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 AM	92.5%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 AM	94.5%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 AM	82.5%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 AM	83.5%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 AM	94.0%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 AM	92.0%
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 AM	85.5%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 AM	80.0%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 AM	65.0%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 PM	48.0%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 PM	43.5%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 PM	42.5%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 PM	41.0%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 PM	37.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM	50.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM	54.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM	37.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+4.6 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$46.0K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$716

Market Significance

Moderate (66)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 9, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 62/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 69

Persistence 44

Data Confidence Medium (60)

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