Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?

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Current Probability

0.4%

24h Change

-0.1 pp

Signal Score

49/100

Data Confidence

High (86)

24h probability fell 0.1pp; volume is 8.6x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 6 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-17 11:19 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability fell 0.1pp
24h volume is 8.6x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $113,872

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 2 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.

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Current

0.4%

24h Change

-0.1 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

2 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 17, 11:15 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/17/2026, 11:15:00 AM	0.4%
9/17/2026, 11:00:00 AM	0.4%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$101.6K

Volume vs Baseline

8.6x baseline

Liquidity

$113.9K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 20, 2026

Attention Score

68

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 49/100.

Probability Momentum 0

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 90

Persistence 70

Data Confidence High (86)

Next Steps

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