Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Andrea Guerrieri vs Daniil Glinka

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+46.5 pp

Signal Score

15/100

Data Confidence

Low (35)

Signal passed quality checks

Market data

Updated 10 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-08 11:14 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h history insufficient for probability change
  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $359,035

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 100.0% · Aug 8, 11:00 AM

12% 56% 100% Aug 7 Aug 7 Aug 8 Aug 8 Current 100.0% · 18h of stored history · 19 pts

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+46.5 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

Coverage

18h of stored history

19 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 8, 11:00 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 AM 100.0%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 AM 20.0%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 AM 58.5%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 AM 57.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 AM 58.0%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 AM 58.0%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 AM 58.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM 58.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM 55.0%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 PM 52.0%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 PM 52.0%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 PM 54.5%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 PM 50.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+80.0 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

24h Volume

$568.4K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$359.0K

Market Significance

High (78)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 15, 2026

Attention Score

20

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 15/100.

Probability Momentum 0
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 98
Persistence 0
Data Confidence Low (35)

Next Steps

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