Plovdiv 2: Petr Nesterov vs Radu Mihai Papoe

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

80.5%

24h Change

+29.5 pp

Signal Score

70/100

Data Confidence

Medium (67)

24h probability rose 29.5pp

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-08 18:43 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $342,433
Medium data confidence (67)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

80.5%

24h Change

+29.5 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

Coverage

1d of stored history

27 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 8, 06:30 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/8/2026, 6:30:00 PM	80.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM	30.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM	40.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM	40.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM	41.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM	41.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 PM	41.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 PM	41.5%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 AM	40.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 AM	40.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM	42.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM	42.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM	37.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM	45.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 PM	44.0%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 PM	46.0%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 PM	49.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+40.0 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

24h Volume

$53.5K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$342.4K

Market Significance

High (72)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 15, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 70/100.

Probability Momentum 98

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 87

Persistence 84

Data Confidence Medium (67)

Next Steps

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