The Hundred, Women: London Spirit vs Birmingham Phoenix

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+43.0 pp

Signal Score

70/100

Data Confidence

Medium (66)

24h probability rose 43.0pp

Market data

Updated 6 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-09 16:40 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $167,219
  • Medium data confidence (66)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 100.0% · Aug 9, 04:30 PM

44% 72% 100% Aug 8 Aug 9 Aug 9 Aug 9 Current 100.0% · 2d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+43.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

49 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 9, 04:30 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/9/2026, 4:30:00 PM 100.0%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM 98.0%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 PM 74.5%
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 PM 49.0%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 PM 51.5%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM 58.0%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 AM 57.5%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 AM 57.5%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 AM 57.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 AM 56.5%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 AM 56.5%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 AM 56.5%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 AM 56.5%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 AM 56.5%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 AM 56.5%
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 AM 56.5%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 AM 56.5%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 AM 56.5%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 PM 56.5%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 PM 56.5%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 PM 57.0%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 PM 57.0%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 PM 57.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM 57.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+25.5 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$172.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$167.2K

Market Significance

High (75)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 16, 2026

Attention Score

48

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 70/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 92
Persistence 76
Data Confidence Medium (66)

Next Steps

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