Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)

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Current Probability

2.9%

24h Change

-46.1 pp

Signal Score

69/100

Data Confidence

Medium (65)

24h probability fell 46.1pp

Market data

Updated 23 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-08 22:33 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Low liquidity ($2,342)
  • Medium data confidence (65)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 2.9% · Aug 8, 10:30 PM

0% 43% 87% Aug 7 Aug 8 Aug 8 Aug 8 Current 2.9% · 1d of stored history · 27 pts

Current

2.9%

24h Change

-46.1 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

1d of stored history

31 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 8, 10:30 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/8/2026, 10:30:00 PM 2.9%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 PM 13.5%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 PM 70.5%
8/8/2026, 8:30:00 PM 79.0%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 PM 56.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 PM 56.5%
8/8/2026, 6:30:00 PM 56.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM 55.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM 55.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM 54.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM 54.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM 54.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 PM 55.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 PM 56.5%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 AM 55.5%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 AM 54.5%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 AM 54.5%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 AM 54.0%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 AM 54.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM 51.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM 50.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM 49.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-67.5 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$209.4K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$2.3K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 8, 2026

Attention Score

46

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 69/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 80
Persistence 81
Data Confidence Medium (65)

Next Steps

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