Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5

Open · Resolves in 1 day View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

48.5%

24h Change

-2.0 pp

Signal Score

14/100

Data Confidence

Low (34)

Signal passed quality checks

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-08 18:43 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h history insufficient for probability change
  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $281,120

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 48.5% · Aug 8, 06:30 PM

48% 51% 53% Aug 7 Aug 8 Aug 8 Aug 8 Current 48.5% · 23h of stored history · 25 pts

Current

48.5%

24h Change

-2.0 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

Coverage

23h of stored history

25 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 8, 06:30 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/8/2026, 6:30:00 PM 48.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM 48.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM 48.5%
8/8/2026, 4:30:00 PM 48.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM 48.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM 49.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM 49.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 PM 52.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 PM 52.5%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 AM 52.5%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 AM 52.5%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 AM 52.5%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 AM 51.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 AM 51.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 AM 51.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 AM 51.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM 51.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM 51.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM 51.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM 51.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM 51.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM 51.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 PM 50.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 PM 49.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

24h Volume

$172.7K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$281.1K

Market Significance

High (75)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 1 day

End Date

Aug 8, 2026

Attention Score

18

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 14/100.

Probability Momentum 0
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 92
Persistence 0
Data Confidence Low (34)

Next Steps

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