Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?

Open · Resolves in 10 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

16.5%

24h Change

Insufficient history

Signal Score

13/100

Data Confidence

Low (33)

Signal passed quality checks

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-08 08:07 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h history insufficient for probability change
Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $20,337

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

16.5%

24h Change

—

7d Change

Only 0d of listing history

Coverage

9h of stored history

11 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 8, 08:00 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 AM	16.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 AM	15.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 AM	18.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 AM	18.5%
8/8/2026, 4:15:00 AM	18.0%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM	18.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM	21.0%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM	23.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM	30.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM	28.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM	25.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+1.0 pp

7d Change

Only 0d of listing history

24h Volume

$91.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$20.3K

Market Significance

Moderate (69)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 10 days

End Date

Aug 17, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 13/100.

Probability Momentum 0

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 84

Persistence 0

Data Confidence Low (33)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.

Back to radar Browse all markets View on Polymarket ↗