National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderi

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

20.5%

24h Change

Insufficient history

Signal Score

15/100

Data Confidence

Low (35)

Signal passed quality checks

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-08 18:43 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h history insufficient for probability change
  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $281,733

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 20.5% · Aug 8, 06:30 PM

16% 42% 67% Aug 7 Aug 8 Aug 8 Aug 8 Current 20.5% · 20h of stored history · 23 pts

Current

20.5%

24h Change

7d Change

Only 0d of listing history

Coverage

20h of stored history

23 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 8, 06:30 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/8/2026, 6:30:00 PM 20.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM 61.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM 60.5%
8/8/2026, 4:30:00 PM 62.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM 62.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM 60.5%
8/8/2026, 2:30:00 PM 60.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM 61.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 PM 61.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 PM 61.5%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 AM 61.5%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 AM 61.5%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 AM 62.5%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 AM 61.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 AM 60.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 AM 60.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 AM 60.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM 60.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM 60.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM 60.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM 60.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM 59.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM 60.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-40.0 pp

7d Change

Only 0d of listing history

24h Volume

$629.4K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$281.7K

Market Significance

High (78)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 15, 2026

Attention Score

20

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 15/100.

Probability Momentum 0
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 98
Persistence 0
Data Confidence Low (35)

Next Steps

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