National Bank Open: Arthur Fils vs Cameron Norrie

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

69.5%

24h Change

Unchanged

Signal Score

13/100

Data Confidence

Low (33)

Signal passed quality checks

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-08 22:33 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h history insufficient for probability change
Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $220,230

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

69.5%

24h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

Coverage

24h of stored history

25 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 8, 10:30 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/8/2026, 10:30:00 PM	69.5%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 PM	68.5%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 PM	68.5%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 PM	69.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 PM	69.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM	69.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM	70.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM	70.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM	69.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM	69.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 PM	69.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 PM	69.5%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 AM	69.5%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 AM	69.5%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 AM	69.5%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 AM	70.0%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 AM	69.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 AM	69.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 AM	69.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM	69.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM	69.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM	69.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM	69.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM	69.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+1.0 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

24h Volume

$94.4K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$220.2K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 15, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 13/100.

Probability Momentum 0

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 90

Persistence 0

Data Confidence Low (33)

Next Steps

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