National Bank Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar

Open · Resolves in 8 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

47.5%

24h Change

Insufficient history

Signal Score

14/100

Data Confidence

Low (34)

Signal passed quality checks

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-08 18:43 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h history insufficient for probability change
  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $292,434

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 47.5% · Aug 8, 06:30 PM

44% 47% 49% Aug 7 Aug 8 Aug 8 Aug 8 Current 47.5% · 20h of stored history · 23 pts

Current

47.5%

24h Change

7d Change

Only 0d of listing history

Coverage

20h of stored history

23 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 8, 06:30 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/8/2026, 6:30:00 PM 47.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM 47.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM 47.5%
8/8/2026, 4:30:00 PM 47.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM 47.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM 46.5%
8/8/2026, 2:30:00 PM 46.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM 46.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 PM 46.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 PM 46.5%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 AM 46.5%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 AM 46.5%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 AM 46.5%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 AM 48.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 AM 47.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 AM 46.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 AM 46.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM 46.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM 45.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM 45.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM 45.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM 44.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM 44.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 0d of listing history

24h Volume

$107.8K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$292.4K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 8 days

End Date

Aug 15, 2026

Attention Score

18

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 14/100.

Probability Momentum 0
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 90
Persistence 0
Data Confidence Low (34)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.