National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

35.5%

24h Change

Insufficient history

Signal Score

14/100

Data Confidence

Low (34)

Signal passed quality checks

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-08 18:43 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h history insufficient for probability change
Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $292,528

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

35.5%

24h Change

—

7d Change

Only 0d of listing history

Coverage

20h of stored history

22 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 8, 06:30 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/8/2026, 6:30:00 PM	35.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM	34.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM	33.5%
8/8/2026, 4:30:00 PM	33.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM	33.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM	33.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM	35.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 PM	35.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 PM	35.5%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 AM	35.5%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 AM	35.5%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 AM	35.5%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 AM	32.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 AM	32.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 AM	32.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 AM	32.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM	32.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM	32.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM	32.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM	33.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM	33.0%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM	33.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+2.0 pp

7d Change

Only 0d of listing history

24h Volume

$170.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$292.5K

Market Significance

High (75)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 15, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 14/100.

Probability Momentum 0

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 92

Persistence 0

Data Confidence Low (34)

Next Steps

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