Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Mathys Erhard vs Joel Schwaerzler
Current Probability
53.5%
24h Change
Insufficient history
Signal Score
14/100
Data Confidence
Low (34)
Signal passed quality checks
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h history insufficient for probability change
- Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
- Liquidity depth $235,800
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Current
53.5%
24h Change
—
7d Change
Only 0d of listing history
Coverage
14h of stored history
View history table
| Time | Probability |
|---|---|
| 8/8/2026, 12:45:00 PM | 53.5% |
| 8/8/2026, 12:00:00 PM | 69.5% |
| 8/8/2026, 11:00:00 AM | 40.0% |
| 8/8/2026, 10:00:00 AM | 39.5% |
| 8/8/2026, 9:00:00 AM | 39.5% |
| 8/8/2026, 8:00:00 AM | 39.5% |
| 8/8/2026, 7:00:00 AM | 39.5% |
| 8/8/2026, 6:00:00 AM | 39.5% |
| 8/8/2026, 5:00:00 AM | 40.5% |
| 8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM | 42.5% |
| 8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM | 42.5% |
| 8/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM | 42.0% |
| 8/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM | 42.5% |
| 8/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM | 42.5% |
| 8/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM | 42.5% |
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
+13.5 pp
7d Change
Only 0d of listing history
24h Volume
$239.4K
Volume vs Baseline
Baseline unavailable
Liquidity
$235.8K
Market Significance
High (76)
Market Status
Open · Resolves in 7 days
End Date
Aug 15, 2026
Attention Score
19
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 14/100.
Probability Momentum
Strength of recent probability movement 0
Volume Activity
Trading activity versus the recent baseline 0
Liquidity Quality
Depth available to absorb orders without large price impact 94
Persistence
Whether the move holds across more than one lookback window 0
Data Confidence
Independent quality score for history coverage and data reliability Low (34)