National Bank Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Elena Rybakina

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

73.5%

24h Change

+48.0 pp

Signal Score

75/100

Data Confidence

Medium (70)

24h probability rose 48.0pp

Market data

Updated 4 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-09 18:47 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $412,888
  • Medium data confidence (70)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 73.5% · Aug 9, 06:45 PM

8% 44% 80% Aug 8 Aug 9 Aug 9 Aug 9 Current 73.5% · 2d of stored history · 27 pts

Current

73.5%

24h Change

+48.0 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

41 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 9, 06:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/9/2026, 6:45:00 PM 73.5%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM 13.5%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM 26.5%
8/9/2026, 4:30:00 PM 25.5%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM 25.5%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 PM 25.5%
8/9/2026, 2:30:00 PM 25.5%
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 PM 25.5%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 PM 25.5%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM 25.5%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 AM 25.5%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 AM 25.5%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 AM 25.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 AM 25.5%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 AM 25.5%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 AM 26.5%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 AM 25.5%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 AM 24.5%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 AM 24.5%
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 AM 24.5%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 AM 24.5%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 AM 24.5%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 PM 24.5%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 PM 24.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+47.0 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

24h Volume

$750.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$412.9K

Market Significance

High (79)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 16, 2026

Attention Score

50

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 75/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 99
Persistence 99
Data Confidence Medium (70)

Next Steps

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