Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
Current Probability
100.0%
24h Change
+40.0 pp
Signal Score
90/100
Data Confidence
High (83)
24h probability rose 40.0pp; volume is 5.9x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability rose 40.0pp
- 24h volume is 5.9x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $91,865
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
100.0%
24h Change
+40.0 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
+0.1 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$161.4K
Volume vs Baseline
5.9x baseline
Liquidity
$91.9K
Market Significance
High (82)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Attention Score
98
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 90/100.