National Bank Open: Alina Korneeva vs Coco Gauff

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-23.4 pp

Signal Score

56/100

Data Confidence

Medium (64)

24h probability fell 23.4pp

Market data

Updated 50 minutes ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-09 22:35 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $342,743
  • Medium data confidence (64)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.1% · Aug 9, 10:30 PM

0% 13% 27% Aug 8 Aug 9 Aug 9 Aug 9 Current 0.1% · 2d of stored history · 26 pts

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-23.4 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

44 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 9, 10:30 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/9/2026, 10:30:00 PM 0.1%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 PM 0.1%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM 0.7%
8/9/2026, 8:30:00 PM 9.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM 17.5%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM 24.5%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM 24.5%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM 24.5%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM 24.5%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 PM 23.5%
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 PM 23.5%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 PM 23.5%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM 23.5%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 AM 23.5%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 AM 23.5%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 AM 23.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 AM 23.5%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 AM 23.5%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 AM 23.5%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 AM 23.5%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 AM 23.5%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 AM 23.5%
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 AM 23.5%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 AM 23.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-0.6 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

24h Volume

$1.4M

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$342.7K

Market Significance

High (79)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 16, 2026

Attention Score

43

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 56/100.

Probability Momentum 78
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 100
Persistence 42
Data Confidence Medium (64)

Next Steps

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