National Bank Open: Alexandra Eala vs Belinda Bencic

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

46.5%

24h Change

Unchanged

Signal Score

17/100

Data Confidence

Medium (61)

Signal passed quality checks

Market data

Updated 50 minutes ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-09 22:35 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability was effectively unchanged
  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $330,931

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 46.5% · Aug 9, 10:30 PM

45% 48% 50% Aug 8 Aug 9 Aug 9 Aug 9 Current 46.5% · 2d of stored history · 29 pts

Current

46.5%

24h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

47 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 9, 10:30 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/9/2026, 10:30:00 PM 46.5%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 PM 46.5%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM 46.5%
8/9/2026, 8:30:00 PM 46.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM 46.5%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM 45.5%
8/9/2026, 6:45:00 PM 45.5%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM 45.5%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM 46.5%
8/9/2026, 4:30:00 PM 46.5%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM 46.5%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 PM 48.5%
8/9/2026, 2:30:00 PM 48.5%
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 PM 48.5%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 PM 49.5%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM 48.5%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 AM 48.5%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 AM 48.5%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 AM 48.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 AM 49.5%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 AM 49.5%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 AM 49.5%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 AM 48.5%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 AM 48.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

24h Volume

$159.7K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$330.9K

Market Significance

High (75)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 16, 2026

Attention Score

18

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 17/100.

Probability Momentum 0
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 92
Persistence 20
Data Confidence Medium (61)

Next Steps

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