Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 10?

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-21.4 pp

Signal Score

48/100

Data Confidence

Medium (60)

24h probability fell 21.4pp

Market data

Updated 7 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-10 11:12 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $56,790
  • Medium data confidence (60)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.1% · Aug 10, 11:00 AM

0% 35% 70% Aug 9 Aug 9 Aug 10 Aug 10 Current 0.1% · 2d of stored history · 27 pts

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-21.4 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

57 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 10, 11:00 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM 0.1%
8/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM 0.1%
8/10/2026, 9:15:00 AM 0.1%
8/10/2026, 9:00:00 AM 0.1%
8/10/2026, 8:00:00 AM 0.1%
8/10/2026, 7:45:00 AM 0.1%
8/10/2026, 7:00:00 AM 0.1%
8/10/2026, 6:00:00 AM 63.5%
8/10/2026, 5:00:00 AM 57.5%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 AM 24.0%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 AM 10.5%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 AM 11.5%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 AM 13.5%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 AM 24.5%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 PM 25.0%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 PM 25.5%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM 23.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM 17.0%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM 15.5%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM 15.5%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM 13.0%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM 14.5%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 PM 12.0%
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 PM 12.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$55.5K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$56.8K

Market Significance

High (70)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 10, 2026

Attention Score

39

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 48/100.

Probability Momentum 72
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 85
Persistence 20
Data Confidence Medium (60)

Next Steps

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