Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 10?

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-32.5 pp

Signal Score

70/100

Data Confidence

Medium (66)

24h probability fell 32.5pp

Market data

Updated 10 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-10 07:49 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $17,633
Medium data confidence (66)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-32.5 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

52 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 10, 07:45 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/10/2026, 7:45:00 AM	0.1%
8/10/2026, 7:00:00 AM	30.5%
8/10/2026, 6:00:00 AM	24.5%
8/10/2026, 5:00:00 AM	32.5%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 AM	36.5%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 AM	17.0%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 AM	12.5%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 AM	4.5%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 AM	15.5%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 PM	9.5%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 PM	13.0%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM	13.0%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM	14.0%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM	15.0%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM	10.5%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM	8.5%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM	10.5%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 PM	10.0%
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 PM	17.5%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 PM	11.5%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM	10.5%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 AM	14.0%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 AM	16.5%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 AM	21.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-24.4 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$51.2K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$17.6K

Market Significance

Moderate (67)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 10, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 70/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 81

Persistence 85

Data Confidence Medium (66)

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