Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 10AM ET

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Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+49.5 pp

Signal Score

73/100

Data Confidence

Medium (68)

24h probability rose 49.5pp

Market data

Updated 3 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-10 15:03 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $170,082
Medium data confidence (68)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+49.5 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

49 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 10, 03:00 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM	100.0%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM	51.5%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM	50.5%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM	50.0%
8/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM	49.5%
8/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM	49.5%
8/10/2026, 9:00:00 AM	50.5%
8/10/2026, 8:00:00 AM	50.5%
8/10/2026, 7:00:00 AM	50.5%
8/10/2026, 6:00:00 AM	50.5%
8/10/2026, 5:00:00 AM	50.5%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 AM	50.5%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 AM	50.5%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 AM	50.5%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 AM	50.5%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 AM	50.5%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 PM	50.5%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 PM	50.5%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM	50.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM	50.5%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM	50.5%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM	50.5%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM	50.5%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM	50.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+48.5 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$46.0K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$170.1K

Market Significance

High (79)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 10, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 73/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 87

Persistence 99

Data Confidence Medium (68)

Next Steps

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