Hagen: Tom Gentzsch vs Jerome Kym

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+58.5 pp

Signal Score

14/100

Data Confidence

Low (34)

Signal passed quality checks

Market data

Updated 8 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-09 14:39 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h history insufficient for probability change
Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $381,174

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+58.5 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

Coverage

22h of stored history

23 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 9, 02:30 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/9/2026, 2:30:00 PM	100.0%
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 PM	76.5%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 PM	74.5%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM	43.5%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 AM	43.5%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 AM	43.5%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 AM	42.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 AM	42.5%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 AM	42.5%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 AM	42.5%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 AM	42.5%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 AM	42.5%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 AM	42.0%
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 AM	42.0%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 PM	41.5%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 PM	41.5%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 PM	41.5%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 PM	41.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 PM	40.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM	42.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM	43.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+25.5 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

24h Volume

$293.6K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$381.2K

Market Significance

High (76)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 16, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 14/100.

Probability Momentum 0

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 95

Persistence 0

Data Confidence Low (34)

Next Steps

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