Astana: Lucio Ratti vs Tai Sach

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

66.5%

24h Change

+7.0 pp

Signal Score

35/100

Data Confidence

Medium (66)

24h probability rose 7.0pp

Market data

Updated 7 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-10 11:12 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $348,380
Medium data confidence (66)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

66.5%

24h Change

+7.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

43 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 10, 11:00 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM	66.5%
8/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM	63.5%
8/10/2026, 9:00:00 AM	63.5%
8/10/2026, 8:00:00 AM	62.5%
8/10/2026, 7:00:00 AM	62.5%
8/10/2026, 6:00:00 AM	62.5%
8/10/2026, 5:00:00 AM	62.5%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 AM	62.5%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 AM	62.5%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 AM	62.5%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 AM	62.5%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 AM	58.5%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 PM	58.5%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 PM	58.0%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM	58.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM	58.5%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM	59.5%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM	59.5%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM	59.5%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM	59.5%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 PM	60.0%
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 PM	60.0%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 PM	60.0%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM	60.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+3.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$798.9K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$348.4K

Market Significance

High (79)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 17, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 35/100.

Probability Momentum 23

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 99

Persistence 66

Data Confidence Medium (66)

Next Steps

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