Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-2.9 pp

Signal Score

21/100

Data Confidence

High (71)

24h probability fell 2.9pp

Market data

Updated 9 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-12 19:06 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $156,916
High data confidence (71)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-2.9 pp

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

Coverage

4d of stored history

102 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 12, 07:00 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 1:15:00 PM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM	0.3%
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM	0.3%
8/12/2026, 9:15:00 AM	0.4%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 AM	0.4%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 AM	0.4%
8/12/2026, 7:30:00 AM	0.4%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 AM	0.4%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 AM	0.4%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 AM	0.9%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 AM	0.8%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 AM	1.1%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 AM	1.3%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 AM	2.1%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 AM	2.1%
8/11/2026, 11:00:00 PM	2.9%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

24h Volume

$142.4K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$156.9K

Market Significance

High (82)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 12, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 21/100.

Probability Momentum 10

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 92

Persistence 20

Data Confidence High (71)

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