Ethereum Up or Down on August 10?

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Current Probability

0.5%

24h Change

-48.9 pp

Signal Score

64/100

Data Confidence

Medium (62)

24h probability fell 48.9pp

Market data

Updated 3 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-10 15:03 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $11,783
Medium data confidence (62)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.5%

24h Change

-48.9 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

50 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 10, 03:00 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM	0.5%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM	2.1%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM	10.5%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM	35.0%
8/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM	28.5%
8/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM	26.5%
8/10/2026, 9:15:00 AM	46.0%
8/10/2026, 9:00:00 AM	50.5%
8/10/2026, 8:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/10/2026, 7:45:00 AM	52.0%
8/10/2026, 7:00:00 AM	53.5%
8/10/2026, 6:00:00 AM	45.0%
8/10/2026, 5:30:00 AM	40.0%
8/10/2026, 5:00:00 AM	33.0%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 AM	36.0%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 AM	45.5%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 AM	47.5%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 AM	31.5%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 AM	28.0%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 PM	40.0%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 PM	47.5%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM	41.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM	42.5%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM	42.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-1.6 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$104.2K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$11.8K

Market Significance

Moderate (68)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 10, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 64/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 83

Persistence 42

Data Confidence Medium (62)

Next Steps

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