Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs ASTRAL (+1.5)
Current Probability
100.0%
24h Change
+40.5 pp
Signal Score
14/100
Data Confidence
Low (34)
Signal passed quality checks
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h history insufficient for probability change
- Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
- Liquidity depth $110,261
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Current
100.0%
24h Change
+40.5 pp
7d Change
Only 1d of listing history
Coverage
18h of stored history
View history table
| Time | Probability |
|---|---|
| 8/9/2026, 12:45:00 PM | 100.0% |
| 8/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM | 100.0% |
| 8/9/2026, 11:00:00 AM | 98.0% |
| 8/9/2026, 10:30:00 AM | 72.0% |
| 8/9/2026, 10:00:00 AM | 35.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 9:00:00 AM | 30.0% |
| 8/9/2026, 8:45:00 AM | 59.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 8:00:00 AM | 59.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 7:00:00 AM | 59.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 6:00:00 AM | 59.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 5:00:00 AM | 59.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 4:00:00 AM | 59.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 3:00:00 AM | 59.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 2:00:00 AM | 59.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 1:00:00 AM | 59.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 12:00:00 AM | 59.5% |
| 8/8/2026, 11:00:00 PM | 59.0% |
| 8/8/2026, 10:30:00 PM | 58.5% |
| 8/8/2026, 10:00:00 PM | 59.5% |
| 8/8/2026, 9:00:00 PM | 57.5% |
| 8/8/2026, 8:00:00 PM | 59.5% |
| 8/8/2026, 7:00:00 PM | 58.5% |
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
+2.0 pp
7d Change
Only 1d of listing history
24h Volume
$157.3K
Volume vs Baseline
Baseline unavailable
Liquidity
$110.3K
Market Significance
High (74)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Aug 9, 2026
Attention Score
18
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 14/100.
Probability Momentum
Strength of recent probability movement 0
Volume Activity
Trading activity versus the recent baseline 0
Liquidity Quality
Depth available to absorb orders without large price impact 92
Persistence
Whether the move holds across more than one lookback window 0
Data Confidence
Independent quality score for history coverage and data reliability Low (34)