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Open · Resolves in 1 day View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

Insufficient history

Signal Score

13/100

Data Confidence

Low (33)

Signal passed quality checks

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-09 12:59 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h history insufficient for probability change
Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $68,266

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

—

7d Change

Only 0d of listing history

Coverage

18h of stored history

21 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 9, 12:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/9/2026, 12:45:00 PM	0.1%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 AM	6.5%
8/9/2026, 10:30:00 AM	15.0%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 AM	35.5%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 AM	30.0%
8/9/2026, 8:45:00 AM	31.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 AM	31.5%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 AM	32.0%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 AM	32.5%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 AM	32.5%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 AM	34.5%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 AM	33.5%
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 AM	35.0%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 AM	34.0%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 AM	33.5%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 PM	33.0%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 PM	30.5%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 PM	26.5%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 PM	25.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 PM	28.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-6.5 pp

7d Change

Only 0d of listing history

24h Volume

$67.9K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$68.3K

Market Significance

High (71)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 1 day

End Date

Aug 9, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 13/100.

Probability Momentum 0

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 87

Persistence 0

Data Confidence Low (33)

Next Steps

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