Plovdiv 2: Gabriele Piraino vs Petr Nesterov
Current Probability
79.5%
24h Change
+44.5 pp
Signal Score
14/100
Data Confidence
Low (34)
Signal passed quality checks
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h history insufficient for probability change
- Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
- Liquidity depth $368,282
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Current
79.5%
24h Change
+44.5 pp
7d Change
Only 1d of listing history
Coverage
18h of stored history
View history table
| Time | Probability |
|---|---|
| 8/9/2026, 4:30:00 PM | 79.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM | 86.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 3:00:00 PM | 39.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 2:00:00 PM | 39.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 1:00:00 PM | 39.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM | 39.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 11:00:00 AM | 39.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 10:00:00 AM | 39.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 9:00:00 AM | 39.0% |
| 8/9/2026, 8:00:00 AM | 38.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 7:00:00 AM | 38.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 6:00:00 AM | 37.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 5:00:00 AM | 37.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 4:00:00 AM | 37.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 3:00:00 AM | 37.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 2:00:00 AM | 37.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 1:00:00 AM | 37.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 12:00:00 AM | 37.5% |
| 8/8/2026, 11:00:00 PM | 35.0% |
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
+40.0 pp
7d Change
Only 1d of listing history
24h Volume
$104.4K
Volume vs Baseline
Baseline unavailable
Liquidity
$368.3K
Market Significance
High (74)
Market Status
Open · Resolves in 7 days
End Date
Aug 16, 2026
Attention Score
18
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 14/100.
Probability Momentum
Strength of recent probability movement 0
Volume Activity
Trading activity versus the recent baseline 0
Liquidity Quality
Depth available to absorb orders without large price impact 90
Persistence
Whether the move holds across more than one lookback window 0
Data Confidence
Independent quality score for history coverage and data reliability Low (34)