Todi: Marco Cecchinato vs Nick Hardt

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

85.5%

24h Change

+20.0 pp

Signal Score

57/100

Data Confidence

Medium (68)

24h probability rose 20.0pp

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-10 16:57 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $385,899
Medium data confidence (68)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

85.5%

24h Change

+20.0 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

43 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 10, 04:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/10/2026, 4:45:00 PM	85.5%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM	56.5%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM	68.5%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM	68.5%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM	69.5%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM	69.5%
8/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM	69.5%
8/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM	69.5%
8/10/2026, 9:00:00 AM	69.5%
8/10/2026, 8:00:00 AM	69.5%
8/10/2026, 7:00:00 AM	69.5%
8/10/2026, 6:00:00 AM	69.5%
8/10/2026, 5:00:00 AM	69.5%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 AM	69.5%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 AM	69.5%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 AM	69.5%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 AM	69.5%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 AM	69.5%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 PM	69.5%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 PM	69.5%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM	69.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM	68.5%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM	66.5%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM	65.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+17.0 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

24h Volume

$97.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$385.9K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 17, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 57/100.

Probability Momentum 67

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 90

Persistence 91

Data Confidence Medium (68)

Next Steps

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