Todi: Murkel Dellien vs Daniel Galan

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

33.5%

24h Change

+7.0 pp

Signal Score

36/100

Data Confidence

Medium (67)

24h probability rose 7.0pp

Market data

Updated 3 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-10 15:03 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $228,921
Medium data confidence (67)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

33.5%

24h Change

+7.0 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

41 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 10, 03:00 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM	33.5%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM	29.5%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM	24.5%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM	23.5%
8/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM	23.5%
8/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM	23.5%
8/10/2026, 9:00:00 AM	23.5%
8/10/2026, 8:00:00 AM	23.5%
8/10/2026, 7:00:00 AM	23.5%
8/10/2026, 6:00:00 AM	23.5%
8/10/2026, 5:00:00 AM	24.5%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 AM	24.5%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 AM	24.5%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 AM	24.5%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 AM	24.5%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 AM	24.5%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 PM	24.5%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 PM	24.5%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM	24.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM	24.5%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM	24.5%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM	24.0%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM	26.5%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM	27.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+4.0 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

24h Volume

$496.7K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$228.9K

Market Significance

High (78)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 17, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 36/100.

Probability Momentum 23

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 97

Persistence 74

Data Confidence Medium (67)

Next Steps

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