Spread: New York Liberty (-9.5)

Closed View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+49.5 pp

Signal Score

14/100

Data Confidence

Low (34)

Signal passed quality checks

Market data

Updated 4 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-09 18:47 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h history insufficient for probability change
  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $112,236

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 100.0% · Aug 9, 06:45 PM

41% 71% 100% Aug 8 Aug 9 Aug 9 Aug 9 Current 100.0% · 20h of stored history · 23 pts

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+49.5 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

Coverage

20h of stored history

23 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 9, 06:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/9/2026, 6:45:00 PM 100.0%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM 97.0%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM 72.5%
8/9/2026, 4:30:00 PM 66.5%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM 58.5%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 PM 56.5%
8/9/2026, 2:30:00 PM 55.5%
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 PM 47.5%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 PM 47.0%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM 47.0%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 AM 47.5%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 AM 46.5%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 AM 47.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 AM 46.5%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 AM 47.0%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 AM 47.5%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 AM 47.5%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 AM 48.5%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 AM 49.5%
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 AM 49.5%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 AM 49.5%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 AM 50.0%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 PM 50.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+27.5 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

24h Volume

$129.1K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$112.2K

Market Significance

High (81)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 9, 2026

Attention Score

18

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 14/100.

Probability Momentum 0
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 91
Persistence 0
Data Confidence Low (34)

Next Steps

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