National Bank Open: Diana Shnaider vs Iga Swiatek

Open · Resolves in 8 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

27.5%

24h Change

+1.0 pp

Signal Score

32/100

Data Confidence

High (70)

24h probability rose 1.0pp

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-10 16:57 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $647,153
  • High data confidence (70)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 27.5% · Aug 10, 04:45 PM

26% 29% 31% Aug 9 Aug 10 Aug 10 Aug 10 Current 27.5% · 2d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

27.5%

24h Change

+1.0 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

37 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 10, 04:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/10/2026, 4:45:00 PM 27.5%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM 26.5%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM 26.5%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM 26.5%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM 26.5%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM 26.5%
8/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM 30.5%
8/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM 27.5%
8/10/2026, 9:00:00 AM 27.5%
8/10/2026, 8:00:00 AM 27.5%
8/10/2026, 7:00:00 AM 27.5%
8/10/2026, 6:00:00 AM 27.5%
8/10/2026, 5:00:00 AM 27.5%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 AM 27.5%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 AM 27.5%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 AM 27.5%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 AM 27.5%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 AM 27.5%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 PM 27.5%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 PM 26.5%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM 26.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM 26.5%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM 26.5%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM 26.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+1.0 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

24h Volume

$1.5M

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$647.2K

Market Significance

High (79)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 8 days

End Date

Aug 18, 2026

Attention Score

21

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 32/100.

Probability Momentum 3
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 100
Persistence 100
Data Confidence High (70)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.